Pokémon Go Raid Catch Rate Calculator
Estimate your chances of catching a raid boss in Pokémon Go.
Raid Catch Rate Calculator
The Pokémon's innate catch rate, usually found on game data sites.
The number of Poké Balls you have for the catch attempt.
Select the type of berry used to boost catch rate.
Did you successfully throw a curveball?
Bonus from catching Pokémon of the same type as the raid boss. Note: Ace/Veteran bonuses are for total catches, not type-specific, but can still apply for general consistency. (Values are approximate.)
Bonus from Perfect IVs in certain events or situations (usually 0).
Your Estimated Catch Rate
Base Catch Chance: %
Bonus Multiplier: x
Individual Throw Success Rate: %
Total Catch Chance (1 Ball): %
Estimated Success Rate with Balls: %
Formula Explanation:
The individual throw success rate is calculated by multiplying the Pokémon's base catch rate by various multipliers: Berry bonus, Curveball bonus, Medal bonus, and any applicable IV bonus. This gives you the percentage chance of catching the Pokémon with a single, well-aimed throw. The overall success rate with multiple balls is then calculated using the probability of *not* catching the Pokémon on any given throw, subtracted from 1 (or 100%).
Individual Throw Rate (%) = Base Catch Rate * Berry Multiplier * Curveball Multiplier * Medal Multiplier * (1 + IV Bonus / 100)
Overall Success Rate (%) = 1 – (1 – (Individual Throw Rate / 100)) ^ Number of Balls
Catch Rate Factors Overview
| Factor | Description | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Base Catch Rate | Innate difficulty to catch a specific Pokémon species. | High (Primary determinant) |
| Premier Balls | Number of attempts you get. More balls = higher cumulative chance. | High (Cumulative effect) |
| Berries | Razz and Golden Razz Berries significantly increase catch chance. | Medium-High |
| Curveball | Successfully throwing a curveball provides a consistent bonus. | Medium |
| Medals | Catching Pokémon of the same type as the raid boss boosts your odds. | Low-Medium |
| IVs | Perfect IVs can offer a small boost in specific event scenarios. | Low (usually 0) |
| Excellent/Great/Nice Throws | While not directly input here, landing better throws than a 'regular' throw improves catch radius and can marginally increase success, but the primary calculation uses the base multiplier. (This calculator assumes a successful multiplier application). | Implied in bonus multipliers |
Catch Rate Visualizer
Understanding Your Pokémon Go Raid Catch Rate
What is the Pokémon Go Raid Catch Rate?
The Pokémon Go raid catch rate refers to the probability or percentage chance that a player will successfully capture a Pokémon after defeating it in a raid battle. Unlike wild encounters, raid bosses offer a fixed number of Premier Balls to attempt a catch, making the calculation of your success rate crucial for resource management and maximizing your raid rewards.
This calculator helps trainers understand how various in-game mechanics, such as the number of Premier Balls, berry usage, and throwing techniques, collectively influence their ability to catch these powerful Pokémon. It's particularly useful for high-tier raids where bosses are notoriously difficult to catch.
Pokémon Go Raid Catch Rate Formula and Explanation
The core of determining your raid catch success lies in a few key calculations. The base formula for the chance of catching a Pokémon with a single throw is adjusted by several multipliers. We then use this per-throw chance to estimate the cumulative success rate over multiple Premier Balls.
Individual Throw Success Rate
This is the probability of catching the Pokémon with one successful throw using one Premier Ball, considering all applied bonuses.
Formula:
Individual Throw Rate (%) = Base Catch Rate * Berry Multiplier * Curveball Multiplier * Medal Multiplier * (1 + IV Bonus / 100)
Overall Success Rate with Multiple Balls
Since you have multiple Premier Balls, we calculate the probability of *failing* to catch the Pokémon on each throw and then subtract that from 100%. This gives you the cumulative chance of catching the boss within your allotted balls.
Formula:
Overall Success Rate (%) = 1 - (1 - (Individual Throw Rate / 100)) ^ Number of Balls
Variables Table
| Variable | Meaning | Unit | Typical Range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base Catch Rate | Innate catch difficulty of the Pokémon species. | % | 0.5% – 6% (highly variable) |
| Premier Balls | Number of Poké Balls available for the catch attempt. | Count | 1 – 20+ |
| Berry Multiplier | Bonus from using Razz or Golden Razz Berries. | Multiplier (x) | 1.0 (None), 1.2 (Razz), 1.5 (Golden Razz) |
| Curveball Multiplier | Bonus for successfully landing a curveball throw. | Multiplier (x) | 1.0 (No), 1.3 (Yes) |
| Medal Multiplier | Bonus from relevant type-specific catching medals. | Multiplier (x) | 1.0 – 1.3 (approx.) |
| IV Bonus | Bonus from Perfect IVs in special events (rare). | % | 0% – 10% (usually 0%) |
Practical Examples
Let's see how this works in practice:
Example 1: Standard Catch Attempt
- Inputs:
- Base Catch Rate: 4.0%
- Premier Balls: 10
- Berry Used: Razz Berry (1.2x)
- Curveball Thrown: Yes (1.3x)
- Medal Bonus: Gold (1.3x)
- IV Bonus: 0%
- Calculation:
- Individual Throw Rate = 4.0 * 1.2 * 1.3 * 1.3 * (1 + 0/100) = 8.68%
- Overall Success Rate = 1 – (1 – 0.0868)^10 = 1 – (0.9132)^10 = 1 – 0.4076 = 59.24%
- Results: With 10 Premier Balls, a Razz Berry, a Curveball, and a Gold Medal, you have approximately a 59.2% chance of catching this raid boss.
Example 2: Difficult Boss with Golden Razz
- Inputs:
- Base Catch Rate: 2.0%
- Premier Balls: 15
- Berry Used: Golden Razz Berry (1.5x)
- Curveball Thrown: Yes (1.3x)
- Medal Bonus: Silver (1.2x)
- IV Bonus: 0%
- Calculation:
- Individual Throw Rate = 2.0 * 1.5 * 1.3 * 1.2 * (1 + 0/100) = 4.68%
- Overall Success Rate = 1 – (1 – 0.0468)^15 = 1 – (0.9532)^15 = 1 – 0.4889 = 51.11%
- Results: For a rarer Pokémon with only 15 balls, using a Golden Razz Berry and a Curveball increases your chance to about 51.1%. This highlights how critical Premier Balls become for difficult catches.
How to Use This Pokémon Go Raid Catch Rate Calculator
- Identify Inputs: Before starting a raid, or after, note down the specific details for the Pokémon you are facing and the resources you have.
- Base Catch Rate: Look up the base catch rate for the specific raid boss species on reliable Pokémon Go data sites (e.g., Serebii, LeekDuck, PokéAPI). This is crucial.
- Premier Balls: Count the number of Premier Balls you received for completing the raid.
- Berries: Determine which berry you plan to use (or did use). Select 'None', 'Razz Berry', or 'Golden Razz Berry'.
- Curveball: Honestly assess if you successfully threw a curveball. Even one successful curveball counts!
- Medal Bonus: Check your in-game Medals for relevant type-based achievements (e.g., `Ace', `Veteran', `Kindler`, `Fisherman`, `Youngster`, etc.). Select the highest applicable bonus. Note that the calculator uses approximate multipliers for common medal tiers.
- IV Bonus: This is usually 0 unless a specific in-game event explicitly states an IV bonus for catching.
- Enter Values: Input all these details into the respective fields of the calculator.
- Calculate: Click the 'Calculate Rate' button.
- Interpret Results: The calculator will show your individual throw success rate and your overall estimated success rate with the given number of Premier Balls. Use this to gauge your luck and decide if you need to prioritize certain bonuses on future attempts.
- Copy Results: Use the 'Copy Results' button to save your findings.
Key Factors That Affect Pokémon Go Raid Catch Rate
- Pokémon Species Base Catch Rate: This is the most significant factor. Legendaries and rare Pokémon generally have much lower base catch rates than common spawns.
- Number of Premier Balls: More balls directly translate to a higher cumulative chance of success. Even with a low individual throw rate, having many balls can compensate.
- Berry Usage (Golden Razz): Golden Razz Berries provide the largest single multiplier boost, significantly improving your odds for difficult Pokémon.
- Curveball Mastery: Consistently landing curveballs adds a substantial multiplier, making them essential for maximizing catch chances.
- Type Medals: While the bonus might seem small, especially for lower tiers, it contributes to the overall multiplier, particularly for Pokémon types you frequently catch.
- Raid IVs and Event Bonuses: Some special events might offer direct bonuses to catch rates or specific Pokémon IV configurations that are easier to catch. Always check event details.
- Throw Accuracy (Excellent/Great/Nice): Although not a direct input in this calculator, landing better throws generally increases the effective catch radius and can slightly improve success, especially against Pokémon that break out frequently. This calculator assumes you are applying multipliers as if you're making good throws.
- Raid Boss Behavior: Some Pokémon are more aggressive and break out of Poké Balls more often, consuming your Premier Balls faster and reducing your overall chance within the ball limit.
FAQ
- Q: Where can I find the Base Catch Rate for a Pokémon?
A: Reliable Pokémon Go data websites like Serebii.net, LeekDuck.com, or Pokéminers' research on GitHub are excellent resources for this information. - Q: Does the calculator account for Excellent/Great/Nice throws?
A: This calculator focuses on the core multipliers (base rate, berries, curveball, medals). While better throws improve your chances by increasing the effective catch radius and potentially making the Pokémon easier to hit, this calculator applies a standardized multiplier. The multipliers used (1.3x for curveball) are generally applied to successful throws of any type that trigger a bonus. - Q: What is the difference between Razz and Golden Razz Berry multipliers?
A: Razz Berries typically offer a 1.2x multiplier, while Golden Razz Berries offer a higher 1.5x multiplier, significantly increasing your catch probability. - Q: Are the Medal bonuses fixed?
A: The exact multipliers can be debated and may shift slightly with game updates. The values used (e.g., 1.1x, 1.2x, 1.3x) are commonly accepted approximations for Bronze, Silver, and Gold tiers respectively for type-specific medals. Ace and Veteran medals have different scaling and may offer a general bonus. - Q: How does the calculation work with 1 Premier Ball?
A: If you have only 1 ball, the 'Estimated Success Rate with 1 Balls' will be equal to your 'Individual Throw Success Rate'. The formula accounts for this when the number of balls is 1. - Q: Can the catch rate exceed 100%?
A: No. The formula ensures that even with maximum bonuses, the individual throw rate will not exceed the base catch rate multiplied by the maximum possible multipliers, and the overall success rate is capped at 100%. - Q: What if I don't use any berries or throw curveballs?
A: Simply select 'None' for the berry type and 'No' for curveball. The calculator will use a 1.0 multiplier for those inputs, reflecting no bonus. - Q: Is this calculator official?
A: No, this calculator is a third-party tool created by analyzing game data and mechanics. It provides an estimation based on known formulas and multipliers.
Related Tools and Internal Resources
- Pokémon Go IV Checker: Find out the stats of your caught Pokémon.
- Pokémon Go Buddy Candy Calculator: Calculate how much distance you need to walk for Buddy Candy.
- List of Current Pokémon Go Raid Bosses: See which Pokémon are currently available in raids.
- Pokémon Go Shiny Rate Guide: Understand the odds of encountering shiny Pokémon.
- Pokémon Go Raid Tier Guide: Learn about the difficulty and rewards of different raid tiers.
- Comprehensive Pokémon Go Strategy Guides: Improve your overall gameplay.